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The prospect of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. threatening to upend the presidential race went from an idea to a reality in one of the country’s most consequential battlegrounds on Thursday, when Mr. Kennedy qualified for the ballot in Michigan. The decision by the Natural Law Party to grant Mr. Kennedy its ballot line in November ensures he will be a factor in a pivotal swing state where the presidential election is expected to be incredibly close and where President Biden has already shown vulnerability with key Democratic constituencies. During Michigan’s primary in February, a protest movement over Mr. Biden’s support for Israel’s war in Gaza drew significant support. Mr. Kennedy, a lifelong Democrat and the scion of perhaps the nation’s most famous Democratic family, is running as an independent in 2024 and polling higher in early surveys than any third-party candidate since Ross Perot, the self-funding billionaire who ran in the 1990s. His independent candidacy has earned him the estrangement of his own family — who campaigned this week with Mr. Biden in Pennsylvania — and many of his previous colleagues from the environmental movement, who denounced his candidacy publicly on Friday.
Persons: Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy, Biden, Ross Perot Organizations: Natural Law Party, Democratic, Mr Locations: Michigan, Gaza, Pennsylvania —
Follow our live coverage of Trump’s hush money trial. The start of Donald J. Trump’s criminal trial on Monday thrusts the 2024 presidential race into uncharted territory and Mr. Trump back into the public spotlight in ways he hasn’t been since he left the White House more than three years ago. The trial will begin with perhaps the most scrutinized jury selection since the trial of O.J. “This looks like no other presidential campaign in the history of the country,” said Neil Newhouse, a Republican pollster who has worked on past presidential races. “It kind of puts the regular presidential campaign on sabbatical.”
Persons: Donald J, Trump, hasn’t, O.J, Simpson, , Neil Newhouse, Republican pollster Organizations: White, Republican Locations: Manhattan, New York City
Mr. Biden and Mr. Trump are now virtually tied, with Mr. Trump holding a 46 percent to 45 percent edge. That is an improvement for Mr. Biden from late February, when Mr. Trump had a sturdier 48 percent to 43 percent lead just before he became the presumptive Republican nominee. Then, Mr. Trump had secured the support of far more of his past voters compared with the president — 97 percent to 83 percent — but that margin has narrowed. Mr. Biden is now winning 89 percent of his 2020 supporters compared with 94 percent for Mr. Trump. The tightening poll results are the latest evidence of a 2024 contest that both campaigns are preparing to be excruciatingly close.
Persons: Biden, Donald J, Trump, Organizations: Democratic, The New York Times, Siena College, Mr, Republican,
Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has made her first-ever contribution to the campaign arm of House Democrats — a $260,000 donation that is a milestone in the New York Democrat’s long and complicated relationship with her own party’s political establishment. In an interview, Ms. Ocasio-Cortez said her decision to give to the campaign arm, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, was driven primarily by the dire threat of Republicans staying in power. She feared a Republican-controlled House would not certify a potential re-election of President Biden this fall. “The entire country saw a terrorist attack on the United States Capitol that was predicated on not certifying the duly submitted results of a presidential election,” Ms. Ocasio-Cortez said of the riot on Jan. 6, 2021. She arrived on Capitol Hill as the youngest woman ever elected to the House and as an instant insurgent instigator who protested that fall in the office of the incoming House speaker, Nancy Pelosi, before even being sworn in.
Persons: Alexandria Ocasio, Cortez, Democrats —, Ocasio, Biden, ” Ms, Ms, Joseph Crowley, Nancy Pelosi Organizations: Democrats, Democratic Congressional, Republican, United States Capitol, Democratic, Bronx, Capitol Locations: York, Queens
Allies of Donald J. Trump are discussing ways to elevate third-party candidates in battleground states to divert votes away from President Biden, along with other covert tactics to diminish Democratic votes. They plan to promote the independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as a “champion for choice” to give voters for whom abortion is a top issue — and who also don’t like Mr. Biden — another option on the ballot, according to one person who is involved in the effort and who, like several others, spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss the plans. Trump allies also plan to amplify the progressive environmental records of Mr. Kennedy and the expected Green Party candidate, Jill Stein, in key states — contrasting their policies against the record-high oil production under Mr. Biden that has disappointed some climate activists. A third parallel effort in Michigan is meant to diminish Democratic turnout in November by amplifying Muslim voters’ concerns about Mr. Biden’s support for Israel’s war in Gaza. Trump allies are discussing running ads in Dearborn, Mich., and other parts of the state with large Muslim populations that would thank Mr. Biden for standing with Israel, according to three people familiar with the effort, which is expected to be led by an outside group unaffiliated with the Trump campaign.
Persons: Donald J, Trump, Biden, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Mr, Kennedy, Jill Stein Organizations: Democratic, Green Party Locations: Michigan, Gaza, Dearborn, Mich, Israel
According to the Biden campaign, the event brought in more than $25 million. That fund-raising haul further tips the scales in the money race between Donald J. Trump and Mr. Biden — a race that, so far, the Democrats have been winning. And when two candidates are as well known as Mr. Biden and Mr. Trump, there might be a limit to what money can buy. This week, we speak with the longtime Democratic donor Robert Wolf about the Radio City fund-raiser and why he has donated to Mr. Biden. And Shane Goldmacher, a national political correspondent for The New York Times, explains the vast financial gap between the candidates.
Persons: Biden, Barack Obama, Bill Clinton, Biden’s, Stephen Colbert, Mindy Kaling, Queen Latifah, Donald J, Trump, Biden —, hasn’t, Robert Wolf, Shane Goldmacher Organizations: Radio City Music Hall, Democratic, Radio City, Mr, The New York Times
The morning after President Biden’s fund-raiser with former Presidents Bill Clinton and Barack Obama, his campaign has planned a daylong retreat on Friday for 175 of his biggest financiers and fund-raisers in New York. The gathering of what the campaign calls Mr. Biden’s national finance committee will feature a half-dozen briefings from his top political advisers, including his campaign manager, Julie Chavez Rodriguez, and two former top White House advisers who have moved over to help lead his campaign, Jennifer O’Malley Dillon and Mike Donilon. The meeting at the InterContinental New York Barclay hotel is a sign of how the president has drawn his financial strength not only from grass-roots contributors but also from major donors who can cut checks as large as $929,600 to the Biden Victory Fund, a shared venture of Mr. Biden and the national and state Democratic Parties. To qualify as a member of Mr. Biden’s national finance team, donors are asked to write a check for at least $47,900.
Persons: Biden’s, Bill Clinton, Barack Obama, Julie Chavez Rodriguez, Jennifer O’Malley Dillon, Mike Donilon, InterContinental New York Barclay, Biden Organizations: White, InterContinental New, Biden, Fund, Mr, Democratic Locations: New York, InterContinental New York
$254.1 million in donations Various Trump accounts $107 million in legal expenses $254.1 million in donations Various Trump accounts $107 million in legal expensesHow Trump Moved Money to Pay $100 Million in Legal BillsFormer President Donald J. Trump has spent more than $100 million since leaving office, on lawyers and other costs related to fending off various investigations, indictments and his coming criminal trials, according to a New York Times review of federal records. $84.6 million in donations MAGA PAC Save America PAC MAGA Super PAC $10.5 million $16.7 million $60 million $27.2 million in legal expenses $84.6 million in donations Save America PAC MAGA Super PAC MAGA PAC $10.5 million $16.7 million $60.0 million $27.2 million in legal expenses The New York TimesAs Mr. Trump prepared to announce his 2024 run late in 2022, he faced a quandary: His PAC could not directly spend money to elect him as president. $104.2 million in donations Save America PAC MAGA Super PAC MAGA PAC Trump 2024 Committee $11.8 million $42.3 million $11.3 million $48.0 million $59.3 million in legal expenses $104.2 million in donations Save America PAC MAGA Super PAC Trump 2024 Committee MAGA PAC $11.3 million $11.8 million $42.3 million $48.0 million $59.3 million in legal expenses The New York TimesEarly last year, Mr. Trump made a change to bring more money into Save America, the PAC that was paying his legal expenses. Save America PAC MAGA Super PAC Trump 2024 Committee MAGA PAC $900,000 $10 million $9.7 million At least $9.7 million in legal expenses Save America PAC MAGA Super PAC Trump 2024 Committee MAGA PAC $900,000 $10 million $9.7 million At least $9.7 million in legal expenses The New York TimesThe more than $100 million in legal spending since leaving office does not include spending from Mr. Trump's 2024 campaign, which has not paid for his personal legal bills. Then, Mr. Trump will have to decide: Whose money will he use to pay his lawyers?
Persons: Trump, Donald J, Biden’s, “ MAGA, Trump’s, Trump's Organizations: Trump, Bills, New York Times, Save America PAC, Save America PAC Trump, Save, Mr, PAC Save America PAC, PAC MAGA, America, MAGA PAC, PAC Save America, MAGA, MAGA Super, PAC, Save America, Republican National Committee Locations: New York, Trump’s New York, Save America
When Nikki Haley dropped out of the 2024 presidential race in early March, she withheld endorsing Donald J. Trump and extended a pointed invitation for him to court her and the political coalition she constructed. “This is now his time for choosing,” she said then. There has never been very much magnanimity in the MAGA movement. Even out of the race, Ms. Haley has continued to pull in a significant number of voters in ongoing primary contests. Across the five swing states that have held primaries so far — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina and Nevada — a total of about 750,000 people cast ballots for Ms. Haley.
Persons: Nikki Haley, Donald J, Trump, , MAGA, Biden, Haley Locations: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada
Listen and follow The DailyApple Podcasts | Spotify | Amazon MusicOver the past week, Donald J. Trump has burned down and rebuilt the Republican National Committee, gutting the leadership and much of the staff. Shane Goldmacher, a national political correspondent for The Times, explains why the former president is trying to reinvent such a crucial piece of campaign apparatus so close to an election.
Persons: Donald J, Trump, Shane Goldmacher Organizations: Spotify, Republican National Committee, The Times
President Biden’s re-election campaign said on Sunday that it had raised more than $53 million in February together with the Democratic Party, an influx of cash that is expected to widen the Democrats’ cash advantage in a general-election contest against former President Donald J. Trump. Mr. Biden, the Democratic Party and their shared accounts now have $155 million cash on hand — up from $130 million at the end of January, his campaign said. So far in the race, Mr. Biden and the Democrats have built a substantial fund-raising advantage over Mr. Trump and the Republican National Committee, which reported around $40 million in cash on hand between them at the end of January. The Trump campaign has not released its February fund-raising figures but has said it also had its strongest month among small donors — topping the $22.3 million raised last August. Mr. Trump and the R.N.C.
Persons: Biden’s, Donald J, Trump, Biden, ” Jeffrey Katzenberg Organizations: Democratic Party, Republican National Committee, Mr
How Trump Is Scrambling to Raise Cash
  + stars: | 2024-03-16 | by ( Shane Goldmacher | Maggie Haberman | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
But advisers to Mr. Trump’s campaign and his super PACs hope the charm offensive will eventually pay political and financial dividends. One of the most pressing issues facing Mr. Trump is the financial disparity he and allied groups now face with Mr. Biden and the Democratic Party. The Trump operation did not release a full total, but his campaign account and the Republican National Committee had around $40 million. Mr. Trump enters the general election ahead of Mr. Biden in public polls. But Mr. Biden has taken full advantage of one of the benefits of incumbency, both socking away cash and building out a political operation earlier than his challenger.
Persons: Donald J, Trump, Biden, Larry Ellison, Pepe Fanjul Organizations: Republican, Oracle, Democratic Party, Democrats, Republican National Committee, Mr Locations: schmoozing
He has repeatedly accused three Black prosecutors investigating him of “reverse racism.” He told a gathering of Black Republicans that Black people like him because he, too, has been charged by the criminal justice system. There’s a fundamental tension in Donald J. Trump’s attempts to woo Black voters. Public polling shows him faring better with Black voters than any Republican presidential candidate has in decades. Mr. Trump currently receives nearly four times the support from Black voters in polling than the 6 percent who actually voted for him in 2016, according to Pew Research Center data. The margins of victory are expected to be small in those four states, where Mr. Trump hopes to offset his potential weaknesses with independent voters and suburban women.
Persons: , Donald J, Trump’s, Biden, Cornel West, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Trump Organizations: Black Republicans, Black, White House, Republican, Pew Research Locations: Michigan , Wisconsin , Pennsylvania, Georgia
The swift changes amount to a gutting of the party apparatus eight months before the November election, with one person familiar with the operations estimating that the R.N.C. had only about 200 people on payroll at the end of February, and about 120 at its headquarters near Capitol Hill. On Friday, Michael Whatley, a close ally to Mr. Trump, and Lara Trump, the former president’s daughter-in-law, were unanimously elected as the committee’s chair and co-chair. Mr. Trump had pushed out Ronna McDaniel, the committee’s leader since 2017, and endorsed Mr. Whatley and Ms. Trump to take the reins of the national party. Chris LaCivita, one of Mr. Trump’s top campaign advisers, was tapped to serve as the chief operating officer, and he was at the party headquarters meeting with senior staff on Monday.
Persons: Donald J, Michael Whatley, Trump, Lara Trump, Ronna McDaniel, Mr, Whatley, Chris LaCivita, Trump’s Organizations: Republican National Committee Locations: Capitol Hill
The promise of change has been a powerful force in presidential campaigns for decades, a reliable appeal to a fundamental yearning in the American electorate. It was central to the candidacies of John F. Kennedy, Ronald Reagan, Barack Obama and Donald J. Trump. The contest between President Biden and former President Donald J. Trump is the rare election without a major party candidate who can be presented as a fresh face and a new tomorrow. Neither man is poised to tap into all of the enthusiasm and excitement that comes with unknown possibilities. Instead, Americans are getting a rerun, a race between a president and a former president, both older than 90 percent of Americans — Mr. Biden is 81 and Mr. Trump is 77 — and viewed unfavorably by a majority of them.
Persons: John F, Kennedy, Ronald Reagan, Barack Obama, Donald J, Bill Clinton, Biden, Trump, Mr Organizations: Trump, House
Nikki Haley is said to be planning to drop out of the presidential race. Donald J. Trump rolled up victories across the country on Super Tuesday, and by the end of the evening it was clear that the former president had left Nikki Haley in the delegate dust. Ms. Haley plans to make it official on Wednesday morning, according to multiple people familiar with her plans, with an event where she will drop out but not immediately offer her endorsement to Mr. Trump. That is important because tucked inside Mr. Trump’s often dominant statewide victories on Tuesday were signs of vulnerability for the fall. He showed some of the same weakness in the swingy suburban areas that cost him the White House in 2020.
Persons: Nikki Haley, Donald J, Trump, , Ms, Haley, Trump’s Organizations: Republican, House Locations: Trump’s, California , North Carolina , Tennessee , Texas, Virginia
Layla Elabed, campaign manager for Listen to Michigan, which spearheaded the protest vote against President Biden last week in Michigan. “Elections have a certain amount of momentum,” said Keith Ellison, Minnesota’s Democratic attorney general, who voted for Mr. Biden. Uncommitted Minnesota said it spent about $20,000 on the campaign since beginning last Monday. In Washington, organizers are pushing similar efforts to vote “uncommitted” in the state’s primary next week. It was not our first choice, but we have to let President Biden know that our votes are not to be taken for granted.”Nicholas Nehamas contributed reporting from Minneapolis.
Persons: Layla Elabed, Biden, Israel —, Mr, Uncommitted, Rashida Tlaib, Donald J, Donald Trump, , Elianne Farhat, Kamala Harris, , Lauren Hitt, Cole Harrison, Trump, Keith Ellison, Ellison, Biden’s, Joe Biden, Abdullah Elagha, Harrison, Ilhan Omar, Rania Masri, , uncommitted, Rami Al, ” Nicholas Nehamas Organizations: Democratic, Democratic National Convention, Somali, Trump, Uncommitted Minnesota, Hamas, Massachusetts Peace, Mr, , Democratic Party, Colorado Palestine Coalition, Abandon Biden, Republican Party Locations: Michigan, Israel, Gaza, Colorado, Minnesota, Massachusetts, Cambridge, Colorado , Massachusetts, North Carolina, United States, American, Uncommitted Minnesota, In Minnesota, Georgia, Washington, Bothell, Minneapolis
The exit by Nikki Haley from the Republican primary after a string of resounding losses on Super Tuesday assured former President Donald J. Trump of his party’s nomination, kicking off a general election contest with President Biden that both sides expect will be bitter, brutal and long. The matchup that many Americans had long hoped to avoid — the 2024 sequel of Biden vs. Trump — is now an inescapable reality. It will be the country’s first presidential rematch in nearly 70 years, a consequential yet familiar collision of starkly different visions of American power, policy and democratic governance. And it will be an eight-month slog, with two nominees who polls show are deeply unpopular and who are each determined to make the race about his opponent, leaving both bent on running exceedingly negative campaigns. “I’m not the gift of all presidents,” Mr. Biden told donors at a fund-raiser last month, “but I’m sure in hell better than the last guy.”
Persons: Nikki Haley, Donald J, Trump, Biden, “ I’m, ” Mr Organizations: Republican, Super, Biden, Trump
The primary season is about to shift into overdrive with Super Tuesday, when Republican voters in 15 states will cast their votes. Polls suggest that former President Donald Trump is very likely to win most, if not all, of these contests. I spoke with Nate Cohn, The New York Times’s chief political analyst, about when Trump’s nomination could become a lock. If the polls are right, there’s really only one scenario: Trump finding himself within easy striking distance of the nomination. Put it together, and Trump could easily win more than 90 percent of the delegates available on Super Tuesday.
Persons: Donald Trump, Nate Cohn, — Dean Phillips, Marianne Williamson —, Nate, It’s, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, there’s, Trump, Haley, Israel’s, Haiyun Jiang, The New York Times Trump, Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel, you’re, You’re, ” Trump, Netanyahu, Biden, Israel —, America’s, , John Bolton, — Jonathan Swan, Maggie Haberman, Michael Gold Read Organizations: Republican, Trump, The, Democratic, Republican National Convention, California —, The New York Times, Univision, Republican Party, Hezbollah, Trump Republican Party, Biden, Democratic Party, Locations: Iowa , New Hampshire, California, Georgia, Hawaii , Mississippi, Washington, Arizona, Florida , Illinois , Kansas, Ohio, Gaza . Credit, Gaza, Israel, Lebanese, Rock Hill, S.C, Trump, Michigan
President Biden’s advisers are eager for the coming general-election fight and counting on voters to start paying more attention to Donald J. Trump, with the president himself even proposing and dashing off videos to ridicule the things his Republican rival says. Mr. Trump is relishing the chance to contrast himself with Mr. Biden, as he did along the Texas-Mexico border last week, and trusting that Mr. Biden has the tougher job: convincing voters that their views of how the country is doing are wrong. With the former president expected to rack up big wins on Super Tuesday and Mr. Biden preparing to deliver his State of the Union address on Thursday, this week is expected to clarify the coming choice for an American public that in many ways remains in disbelief that 2024 is headed toward a 2020 rematch. Both campaigns see the coming days as a critical period that will set the tone and define the early contours of the presidential campaign.
Persons: Donald J, Trump, Mr, Biden Organizations: Trump, Republican, Super Locations: Texas, Mexico
news analysisWhen it comes down to it, a lot of Democrats wish President Biden were not running this fall. Image Supporters greeted President Biden as his motorcade left the airport in Brownsville, Texas, earlier this week. Some privately say that Georgia and Arizona may be out of reach, requiring Mr. Biden to sweep Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. Mr. Biden, 81, is just a little older than Mr. Trump, 77, and both have exhibited moments of confusion and memory lapses. After his annual physical this past week, Mr. Biden’s doctor pronounced him “fit for duty.” But polls show that more of the public is unsettled by Mr. Biden’s advancing years than Mr. Trump’s.
Persons: Biden, Donald J, Trump, I’m, , David Plouffe, Barack Obama’s, , , , Biden’s, doubters, Mr, Meridith Kohut, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, ” Michael Tyler, Trump’s, Elaine Kamarck, he’s, Dean Phillips, Lyndon B, Johnson, Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Gretchen Whitmer, Kamarck, Emily Elconin, Ms, He’s, Let’s, Obama, Hillary Clinton, Jill Biden, — Joe Biden, Plouffe Organizations: The New York Times, Siena College, Democratic, The New York, Biden, College, Center, Public Management, Brookings Institution, Democratic National Committee, Dean Phillips of, Super Tuesday, Democratic National Convention, America, Mr, Trump Locations: Washington, Brownsville , Texas, , Georgia, Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Europe, Gaza, Dean Phillips of Minnesota, Gaza . Credit
With eight months left until the November election, Mr. Biden’s 43 percent support lags behind Mr. Trump’s 48 percent in the national survey of registered voters. Only one in four voters think the country is moving in the right direction. More than twice as many voters believe Mr. Biden’s policies have personally hurt them as believe his policies have helped them. A majority of voters think the economy is in poor condition. So far, it is Mr. Trump who has better unified his party, even amid an ongoing primary contest.
Persons: Biden, Donald J, Trump Organizations: The New York Times, Siena College, Democratic Locations: Times, Siena
For Mr. Trump, the border is a familiar backdrop and represents almost the background music of his candidacy, as he warns of a nation slipping out of reach and an “invasion” he promises to stop. For Mr. Biden, immigration represents a top vulnerability as border crossings reached record highs in late 2023 and images of mass migration and its fallout have become fixtures on the news. In the fall of 2020, Mr. Trump was more trusted on immigration by a sizable 16 percentage points, according to NBC News polling at the time. That margin has more than doubled to 35 percentage points as of this January — the largest advantage either Mr. Biden or Mr. Trump had on any of the nine issues tested. The package would have made asylum claims more difficult, expanded detention capacity, increased fentanyl screening and paid for more border officers.
Persons: Biden, Donald J, Trump, , Trump’s Organizations: Trump, Republicans, Mr, NBC, Republican Locations: Texas
Joseph R. Biden Jr. and Donald J. Trump won Michigan’s primary elections on Tuesday as the president and his predecessor hurtle toward a rematch in November. But the results showed some of the fragility of the political coalitions they have constructed in a critical state for the fall. Losing any slice of support is perilous for both Mr. Biden and Mr. Trump. Mr. Biden won Michigan in 2020 by about 150,000 votes, and Mr. Trump carried it in 2016 by about 11,000 votes. The results of the primaries on Tuesday carried extra weight because Michigan was the first state that is a top general-election battleground to hold its primary in 2024.
Persons: Joseph R, Biden, Donald J, Trump Organizations: Michigan
Larry Hogan might not be running for Senate this year but for a letter he received in early January. The popular former Republican governor of Maryland had rebuffed years of entreaties and lobbying from a parade of powerful Republicans. Once Mr. Hogan had cracked open what had seemed a shut door, Mr. Thacker quickly informed his boss of his personal outreach, setting in motion a frantic three-week sprint of private meetings and polling. Mr. Hogan ultimately made a dramatic surprise entrance into the race hours before a Feb. 9 filing deadline. The decision delivered a genuine jolt to a Senate landscape that was already heavily tilted toward Republicans in 2024.
Persons: Larry Hogan, Hogan, Darin Thacker, Thacker Organizations: Senate, Republican Locations: Maryland, Annapolis
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